The attack on one of the best known Pakistani journalists, Hamid Mir,
has only reaffirmed Pakistan's reputation as one of the most dangerous
places in the world for journalists. Mir, who took six bullets, barely
survived the well planned ambush carried out in broad daylight on a busy
road in Karachi when he was heading from the airport to his office. The
attempt on his life created a veritable storm in the Pakistani media,
more so after his brother alleged that the ISI chief, Lt. Gen Zaheerul
Islam, was responsible for the attack.
According to reports in the Pakistani media, Mir had confided in his
friends and family about the threats to his life from ISI and had even
recorded his testimony on paper and in a video which was to be made
public if something happened to him. Naturally, as soon as news of the
attack broke, fingers started being pointed at the ISI. The military
spokesman was quick to condemn the incident and deny any involvement of
the ISI in the incident. But cut to the bone by the audacity and
temerity of the journalists who were accusing the ISI of being behind
the attack, the intelligence agency, which is a virtual state within a
state, unleashed its army of plants in the media to launch a fierce
counter offensive, not just against Mir (accusing him of all sorts of
anti-national activity) but also the media group –Jang/Geo – that he
works for. For the rival channels, this was a Godsend opportunity to
pull the Jang Group down from its pedestal as the most popular and
powerful media group in Pakistan.
For some months now, the ISI has been using a rival channel ARY
(owned by a dubious UAE based Pakistani-origin businessman who is
alleged to be hand in glove with Dawood Ibrahim and involved in all
sorts of shady deals, including Hawala and gold smuggling) to target
Jang, its owner and its journalists. After the Hamid Mir attack, other
channels like Express (owned by the Lakhani group) have also jumped into
the act. The idea is to severely damage, if not destroy, Jang’s
credibility and popularity and at the same time increase their own
market share at Jang’s expense. The icing on the cake will be currying
favour with the real power centre in Pakistan – the Pakistan Army.
The Jang group has faced tough situations in the past, but always
came out winner. This is however the first time that it is pitted
directly against the military. The tiff with Musharraf in the last few
months of his regime cannot be compared with what is happening today
when it is facing a sustained and vicious campaign entirely backed by
the dirty tricks department of the military. To an extent, the Jang
group must share the blame for what it is facing. Over the years, it has
carried out exactly the same sort of campaigns against civilian
governments, weakening them to a point where they became pushovers for
the ‘establishment’. The only time they failed was with Asif Zardari who
despite the unremitting and unfair hostility of the Jang group managed
to ride out all the storms that this media powerhouse created. In the
case of the Nawaz Sharif, the Jang group was clearly seen to be leaning
in support of the PML (N) government by demanding greater accountability
of the army and was not just backing the prosecution of the former
dictator, Pervez Musharraf, but also raking up other issues that rankled
with the Men in Khaki. Perhaps, with the Jang group starting to believe
that it could make and break (and even save) governments, the Pakistani
establishment had already made up its mind to disabuse it of this
notion and de-fang it. The charges levelled against the army and ISI in
the Hamid Mir case will only give further impetus to the plan which is
already underway.
What makes the attempt on Mir’s life so sinister is that it comes
against the backdrop of mounting tensions between the civilian
government and the military. Apparently, the army was pretty cut up with
the government on the issue of former dictator Pervez Musharraf’s
treason trial, the peace process with the Pakistani Taliban and the
trade deal that the government was all set to sign with India. Things
got a little tense after some rather strong words were used by cabinet
ministers against Musharraf, which the media twisted to present as
though these were aimed at the army. Adding further fuel to fire, some
TV channels started playing an eight year old fiery speech of the
Defence Minister, Khwaja Asif, in which he had railed into the military
for meddling in politics and taking away the Lion’s share of the
national cake without having anything to show for it.
Things seemed to have cooled down a bit after Prime Minister Nawaz
Sharif visited the Pakistan Military Academy in Abbottabad and expressed
his confidence in the army and held up the Army Chief, Gen Raheel
Sharif, as a role model for the newly commissioned officers. But the
attack on Mir, coupled with the allegations against ISI, seems to have
muddied the waters once again. Although Nawaz Sharif has set up a
judicial commission of inquiry, the Mir case threatens to snowball into a
test case for establishing civilian supremacy and making the military
accountable. However, if Nawaz Sharif tries to brush this under the
carpet, and the army continues on its offensive against those who
question its dubious policies as well as its monopoly on defining
national interest, then all the tall talk of civilian supremacy will
remain just that. Already, the government, under pressure from the army,
has retreated on the issue of opening trade with India (which isn’t
such a bad thing from India’s point of view because of the sort of
concessions which the Manmohan Singh government had given in return for
getting a not quite MFN status). Even on Musharraf, there seems to be a
move to let him off the hook and allow him to flee Pakistan. If now the
government backs down on getting to the bottom of the attack on Mir,
then it will be, for all practical purposes, reduced into a glorified
municipality, like its predecessor. It may survive in office for a full
term, but wield no real power to take any important decision, unless
this is endorsed and sanctioned by the military.
Mir is of course not the first prominent journalist to come under
fire, nor will he be the last. Just a couple of weeks earlier, another
well-known journalist Raza Rumi escaped by the skin of his teeth after
his car was ambushed in Lahore. Raza’s driver died in the incident and
he has reportedly left Pakistan. Although in Raza’s case, the Taliban
(through one of their affiliated organisations, the Sunni sectarian
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi) are believed to be responsible, a number of other
journalists have claimed threats from state, quasi-state and non-state
actors. Interestingly, the ideological persuasions of the threatened
journalists cover the entire spectrum of opinion. In other words, it is
not just liberal people like SAFMA Secretary General Imtiaz Alam and
columnist Kamran Shafi, but also Taliban advocates and sympathisers like
Ansar Abbasi and Ahmed Noorani who have received threats, from both the
military and the militants. Hit lists containing the names of
journalists have also been floating around for some time now. But more
than the threats, which are a professional hazard in a country as
disturbed, divided and intolerant as Pakistan, it is the sheer impunity
with which journalists are threatened and targeted that exemplifies the
dysfunctional nature of the state and its institutions. Nothing
illustrated this fact better than the utterly useless report of the
commission that investigated the murder of journalist Saleem Shahzad,
who is also believed to have been killed by the ISI after he published a
story that the Al Qaeda had infiltrated the Pakistan Navy.
Like Shahzad, Mir had frequently been crossing the unwritten red
lines of the military by highlighting issues like the enforced
disappearance and extrajudicial killings by the army and paramilitary
forces, the human rights violations in Balochistan, the need to
prosecute Musharraf, the rising civil-military discord etc. The problem
was not just with the stories he was covering but also the fact that Mir
thought he had become too big to be touched. This hubris was his
undoing, as it has been of scores of journalists before Mir who thought
that their prominence put them out of harm’s way. In Mir’s case, his
past must also have gone against him. He was at one time seen as a
blue-eyed boy of the ISI (his detractors claim he was on the payroll)
and an Urdu paper he used to edit some years back was alleged to have
been funded by the ISI. What is more, he used to espouse the cause of
Jihadist terrorists and had developed close links with them. He also had
a very rabid stance on India and Kashmir. When such a person tries to
assert his independence, his former patrons are bound to be furious and
the attack on him is likely to have a ‘salutary’ impact on other
journalists who were outspoken, something that is already becoming
apparent in the sort of guarded statements and comments that Mir’s
colleagues have been making on TV and in the print media.
It wasn’t, however, just the military, but also the militants who
were reported to be gunning for him. Although he was quite adept at
walking the tight-rope on the issue of Taliban, there were times when he
took positions that didn’t go down well with the Islamists. While the
Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has denied any involvement in the
attack, there are some unconfirmed reports that the Punjabi Taliban have
claimed responsibility. But this claim doesn’t appear to be very
credible because Mir is known to have close links with the Punjabi
jihadists, something that came out clearly when a tape emerged of a
conversation between him and the Punjabi Taliban discussing the links of
a kidnapped former ISI official, Khalid Khwaja, with the CIA. Khwaja
was later shot dead by the Taliban after Mir virtually pronounced a
death sentence on him by declaring him a CIA agent. If the Punjabi
Taliban have now launched this murderous attack on Mir, then it would
mean that there has been a big break between Mir and the so-called
mujahideen.
Although the involvement of the TTP or its affiliates cannot be
completely ruled out, the circumstances surrounding the attack on Mir
shifts the needle of suspicion away from them. Despite their strong
presence in Karachi – they have claimed responsibility for at least
three or four attacks on media houses like Express and AAJ in recent
months – for the Taliban to target an Islamabad-based Mir in the port
city would require an intelligence and operational network capability
which is probably out of their league. But if indeed it was the Taliban
that carried out the attack on Mir, then it means that Pakistan is in
far more serious trouble than what it is apparent. Apart from the
Taliban, the ISI mouthpieces in the media have been quick to blame India
for the attack. Some of these loonies have also named CIA and Mossad.
Clearly, the intellect and worldview of these characters (which includes
fairly senior retired military officers) is based on Bollywood masala
movies like Ek Tha Tiger and Agent Vinod. Even more hilarious was the
bizarre theories that some of the ‘analysts’ came up with: Mir was
dubbed a RAW agent who was shot because he had outlived his usefulness;
one genius morning show anchor even doubted that he was injured; another
‘analyst’ asked whether he staged the incident himself and accidentally
got shot more than planned; yet another blamed the Jang/Geo group for
the attack so it could paint the ISI in lurid colours!
More seriously, the fact that ISI touts have been using this
opportunity to train their guns on India, their favourite whipping boy,
raises serious questions about all the talk of the army being on the
same page as the civilian government on the issue of improving relations
with India. For some months now, known military mouthpieces have been
carrying out a vitriolic and virulent campaign against India and have
been taking pot shots at the Nawaz Sharif government accusing it of a
sell-out. While the Manmohan Singh government, as is its wont, remained
somnolent on this issue, what is surprising is that the so-called well
informed Indian analysts on foreign affairs have continued to delude
themselves that Pakistan has changed. The fallout of the Hamid Mir
attack should serve as a reality check to all these Indians about how
nothing has changed in Pakistan.
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