The ongoing struggle of people across the Arab world to get rid of
military dictators and tyrannical monarchies has led to a new debate
about the efficacy of the emerging doctrine of military intervention.
The foremost question today is whether the international community
should punish the Assad regime in Syria for using chemical weapons
against its own people.
In Libya, in 2011, the UN Security Council had approved the
imposition of a ‘no-fly zone’, but had ruled out the deployment of a
‘foreign occupation force’. The western alliance launched air and
missile strikes on Libya — ostensibly to protect the population against
attacks from Gadhafi’s forces. However, the strikes were clearly
designed to bring about a regime change.
John Mackinlay of King’s College, London, has argued that in the
“complex emergencies which increasingly threaten security in Eastern
Europe, Central Asia and Africa, international response mechanisms have
failed from the outset to take a realistic approach that reflected the
needs of the crisis… due to vested interest, conservatism and a lack of
vision beyond the narrow limitations of national and professional
interest”. With some exceptions, most nations today agree to join an
international intervention effort only when their own national interests
are served by intervening and rarely where the cause is humanitarian.
The world had failed to intervene to stop the genocide in Rwanda.
John Hillen, a policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation, a US think
tank, has suggested the following criteria for future US military
interventions: should defend national security interests; should not
jeopardise the ability of the US to meet more important security
commitments; should strive to achieve military goals that are clearly
defined, decisive, attainable and sustainable; should enjoy
Congressional and public support; and, the armed forces must be allowed
to create the conditions for success.
Notably, Hillen makes no reference to the need to abide by
international law before deciding to intervene. Former US Secretary of
State Colin Powell had suggested very precise conditions for US
intervention when he was Chairman, US Joint Chiefs of Staff in 1990.
According to him, the following questions must be answered in the
affirmative: “Is a vital national security interest threatened; do we
have a clear attainable objective; have the risks and costs been fully
and frankly analyzed; have all other non-violent policy means been fully
exhausted; is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless
entanglement; have the consequences of our action been fully considered;
is the action supported by the American people; and, do we have genuine
broad international support?”
In the case of Syria, President Barack Obama would find it difficult
to answer even half the above questions with a firm yes. Recent US
interventions in Kosovo and Iraq have clearly established that the
US-led ‘coalition of the willing’ chooses to intervene militarily purely
to further perceived national interests. Clearly, when national
interests are at stake, there are no qualms about circumventing
international law. Such a muscular approach to the conduct of foreign
policy is extremely damaging to international stability and is bound to
encourage similar adventurism elsewhere in the world in the long run.
The emerging doctrine of intervention is built around the ability of
the international community, mainly the US-led western alliance, to
impose its collective will in order to restore a deteriorating situation
or to prevent a nascent conflict from burgeoning into full blown war
with wider ramifications. The international community’s right to
intervene may manifest itself in many ways. It may begin with a warning
through a UNSC resolution. A military embargo and economic sanctions may
follow. Where applicable, a no fly zone or even a naval blockade may be
enforced. Failing all other means, the international community may
sanction the use of military force. The overwhelming belief among
members of the international community is that when this happens, it
must first be approved by a UNSC resolution.
Justifications for the right to intervene militarily, which are being
increasingly propagated and are finding reluctant acceptance – at least
among some countries in the western alliance – include: defence of
democracy and the prevention of the excessive curtailment of a people's
right to participate in decision making; prevention of severe violation
of human rights of a people by a totalitarian regime; protection of
minority groups from severe repression; prevention of acute
environmental degradation; and, prevention of possible attempts to use,
acquire or develop weapons of mass destruction.
In addition to these situations justifying intervention, some of the
following occurrences may also warrant a military response in the
future, provided the proposal is unambiguously supported by a majority
of the members of the UNSC: the persecution of a people due to religious
affiliation; aiding and abetting of terrorists, narcotics smugglers and
crime gangs by rogue regimes; the wilful repeated violation of World
Trade Organisation (WTO) quotas and undercutting of tariffs through
unfair trade practices; excessive interference with the production
facilities, movement and sale of goods and the transfer of funds by
transnational corporations (TNCs); plausible threat to paralyse or
interfere with international communications, navigation, remote sensing
and surveillance satellites and ground control facilities; interference
with the internet and subversive attempts to infect its software; and,
malicious intervention in and manipulation of the international banking
system.
However, regardless of the emerging contours of the doctrine of
military intervention, it must remain a cardinal principle of
international relations that the territorial integrity of each member
state of the UN must be collectively guaranteed by all the other member
states. The non-observance of this collective security imperative can
only lead to anarchy and the rule of the jungle where might is right.
This can be done only by strengthening the UN system to emerge as the
sole arbiter of the need for intervention. Individual nation-states must
not be permitted to assemble coalitions of the willing to intervene
anywhere in the world to further their own necessarily narrow national
interests.
If Syria does not surrender its chemical weapons to the UN in a
reasonable period of time, military strikes would be justified.
Surgically precise missile and air strikes should be employed to achieve
limited military objectives. Emphasis should be laid on the minimum use
of force. Maximum efforts must be made to prevent collateral damage,
with particular reference to civilian casualties and property.
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