Have we learned any lessons from our experiences during the Nehru era
and in subsequent years? Anyone looking dispassionately at our defence
and security policies over the decades would respond only in the
negative.
India frittered away its militarily advantageous position towards the
end of Indo-Pakistan War of 1971 when we failed to exploit the
operational situation in the Western Front that could have given us back
our territory. This was much like towards the end of 1947-48 Indo-Pak
conflict when Indian forces were ordered to stop operations. After the
cessation of hostilities in 1971, we allowed Pakistan a victory on the
negotiating table when India could have at least forced Pakistan’s Prime
Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in the Simla Agreement of 1972, to convert
the cease fire line into a permanent border as we had over 90,000
Pakistani soldiers in our custody.
Some specious response from Bhutto as to what face will he show to
Pakistani public was accepted as a justified explanation. Our
politico-bureaucratic psyche apparently is averse to following hard
policy choices in pursuit of our well cherished and identifiable
national interests. Leeway given to Bhutto then and his single minded
pursuit of building an Islamic bomb that was successful has created more
obstacles for settling the Kashmir issue favourably from the Indian
point of view.
Like Nehru allowed Sheikh Abdullah and his cohorts to travel to
Pakistan and exchange views with the Pakistani leadership, we continue
to show irrational leniency to the separatist Hurriyat leadership and
other hostile and anti-national elements to not only confer with
officials of Pakistan’s High Commission in New Delhi but also to travel
to Pakistan, obviously for purposes that would be contrary to India’s
national interests.
It is a well known fact that such Kashmiri leaders have met those
very leaders who sponsor terrorism both in Kashmir and all over India.
It needs to be remembered that Sheikh Abdullah, in what is known as
Kashmir Conspiracy case, was charged with treason for arranging to
supply arms and explosives sourced from Pakistan as part of a conspiracy
against the State. Despite the proof presented to Nehru about the
involvement of Sheikh Abdullah in the conspiracy, he got him released
and allowed him to Pakistan under the mistaken belief that something
good might come out of the visit.
Currently, the present government is again inclined to follow soft
policies towards Pakistan based on professions of peace by the newly
elected Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif knowing very well that Pakistan’s
India and Afghanistan policies are dictated by the military and security
establishment. Plans by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to visit Pakistan
based on the invitation extended by Nawaz Sharif have not been entirely
discarded even as India has been waiting for Islamabad to deliver on
the masterminds of 26/11 Mumbai terrorist attacks. It is quite evident
that there has been no fundamental change in perceptions of Pakistani
establishment that it is only cross-border terrorism that moves India to
engage with Pakistan and possibly give some concessions to them
especially on Kashmir.
While India has somehow managed to handle military and security
threats from Pakistan, it is the ever expanding Pakistan-China nexus
that presents an invidious and most dangerous threat to India’s
security. It is only a few years back that the Indian Army started
propagating a military doctrine to meet the threat of two front war. In a
throwback to the Nehruvian policies, the government was more inclined
to handle such threats diplomatically rather than spend additional
defence funds for arising and equipping of requisite military formations
and necessary air support.
The report ‘Non Alignment 2.0: A Foreign and Strategic Policy for
India in Twenty First Century’ authored by a group of eminent experts,
that included a member from National Security Advisor (NSA) Shiv Shankar
Menon’s staff and where NSA also attended some of the deliberations of
the group, while talking about military capabilities has opined that “we
need to be clear about what kinds of offensive capabilities will be
useful. The prevailing assumption that we should raise and deploy a
'mountain strike corps' against China is problematic. For it simply
risks replicating all the problems with our existing strike corps under
worse geographic and logistic conditions.” 1 In short, it
is not only the economic burden of raising such forces but the mindset
about provoking China redolent of Nehru era persists. The report also
talks of instigating an insurgency in our areas after they have been
captured by the Chinese forces which conveys a defeatist attitude.
Further, what needs to be noticed is that since 2008 not only PLA has
improved its posture in Tibet it has undertaken a number of incursions
across the Line of Actual Control. This stance of assertive PLA in Tibet
has been made possible by the massive build up of logistic structure in
Tibet to include extensive railway network and over 58,000 kilometres
of roads. The roads have been built up to Indian borders and have also
penetrated Nepal. This would ensure smooth induction of the PLA troops
in any contingency. This contrasts with our poor civil and military
structure even after a lapse of over six decades. No doubt India has
recently embarked on activating its old airfields along Sino-Indian
border and the MOD has chalked out a plan for building extensive road
net work and other infrastructure facilities but our record in
implementing plans and projects has so far been very tardy. Thus the
asymmetrical situation with China that existed in past during Nehruvian
times and thereafter has not been rectified.
Recent incursions by the PLA in Depsang and Chumar areas of Ladakh
sector also reveals the government’s disinclination to reveal such
incidents along the border to the public which conforms to its past
practice of withholding such information from the public lest it may
embarrass the government in some manner or the other. Apparently,
Foreign Minister Salman Khurshid and later Defence Minister Mr. AK
Antony have visited Beijing subsequent to these incidents in April and
June 2013 which seemed from all angles as conciliatory gestures to
China’s aggressive policies in line with appeasement policies of Nehru.
The deficiencies in terms of both military capabilities and defence
equipment continue to plague our forces. Shortage of basic wherewithal
like ammunition deficiencies, need for improvement of ammunition dumps
et al as brought out by the current and previous Army Chiefs, continue
to persist. There are large scale voids which have also been described
as ‘critical hollowness’ in the army that includes tanks running out of
ammunition, obsolete air defence systems and lack of essential weaponry,
and lack of critical surveillance and night-fighting capabilities for
infantry and special forces. There is an inadequate HUMINT in the border
areas and depth and breadth of ELINT, COMINT and satellite cover for
intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance needs to be enhanced.
There have been some improvements in defence organization, structures
and processes but the civil-military relations leave lot to be desired.
Similarly, there is a lack of integration and jointness in our armed
forces. Even though Naresh Chandra’s Task Force in their report
recommended the institution of the post of a Chairman Joint Chiefs of
Staff, the government has shot down that proposal which in any case was
a climb down from the Chief of Defence Staff recommended earlier by a
Group of Ministers in 2001. HQ Integrated Defence Staff created for
enhancing jointness and integration does not have adequate powers or
wherewithal to enforce it. Even NAM 2.0 report has recommended many
relevant structural changes in the Ministry of Defence to improve
civil-military relations but there seems to be lack of political will to
implement such recommendations; the shibboleths of past that military
might somehow establish ascendancy over the civil or political set up
fail to go away.
There is a strong sense of déjà vu that is palpable in the current
political approach to defence and security policies which leaves India
vulnerable to China’s rising military capabilities and its assertive
policies across the Line of Actual Control. While China has been single
mindedly pursuing its long term objectives in Ladakh and Arunachal
Pradesh sectors, Indian response to China’s strategy remains confused
and subdued. Further, Pakistan would be too happy to join China in any
adventure against India. While diplomatic approach would be of some
help, the government needs to take an urgent action to mitigate the gap
in military capabilities along the Indo-Tibetan borders that is becoming
wider with the passage of time.
End Note
- Para 173 of the report titled ”Nonalignment 2.0: A Foreign and Strategic Policy for India of the Twenty First Century”,
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